Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer's roughly $60,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in congressional voting despite a narrow Republican presidential edge in 2024. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting Ryan's prior victories and the absence of a competitive Republican primary. Auringer, a first-time candidate and businesswoman, has focused on local issues and attacked Ryan's donors and positions, but these efforts have not narrowed the gap in polling or trader assessments. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$42,968 Vol.
$42,968 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
7%
$42,968 Vol.
$42,968 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
$33,591 Vol.
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
$9,377 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer's roughly $60,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in congressional voting despite a narrow Republican presidential edge in 2024. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting Ryan's prior victories and the absence of a competitive Republican primary. Auringer, a first-time candidate and businesswoman, has focused on local issues and attacked Ryan's donors and positions, but these efforts have not narrowed the gap in polling or trader assessments. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$42,968Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer's roughly $60,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in congressional voting despite a narrow Republican presidential edge in 2024. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting Ryan's prior victories and the absence of a competitive Republican primary. Auringer, a first-time candidate and businesswoman, has focused on local issues and attacked Ryan's donors and positions, but these efforts have not narrowed the gap in polling or trader assessments. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,968Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding lead in the NY-18 House race due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer's roughly $60,000, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in congressional voting despite a narrow Republican presidential edge in 2024. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting Ryan's prior victories and the absence of a competitive Republican primary. Auringer, a first-time candidate and businesswoman, has focused on local issues and attacked Ryan's donors and positions, but these efforts have not narrowed the gap in polling or trader assessments. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or an unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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