Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District after defeating longtime Rep. Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following his January 2026 special election victory to complete the term of the late Rep. Sylvester Turner. The district, covering parts of Harris and Fort Bend counties, maintained its strong Democratic tilt despite mid-decade redistricting that altered boundaries and prompted the incumbent matchup. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee after winning his March 2026 primary but has faced limited visibility and resources in the heavily Democratic seat. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around Menefee's commanding position. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics make such changes improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
$16,180 Vol.
$16,180 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
3%
$16,180 Vol.
$16,180 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
$14,471 Vol.
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
$1,709 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District after defeating longtime Rep. Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following his January 2026 special election victory to complete the term of the late Rep. Sylvester Turner. The district, covering parts of Harris and Fort Bend counties, maintained its strong Democratic tilt despite mid-decade redistricting that altered boundaries and prompted the incumbent matchup. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee after winning his March 2026 primary but has faced limited visibility and resources in the heavily Democratic seat. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around Menefee's commanding position. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$16,180Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District after defeating longtime Rep. Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following his January 2026 special election victory to complete the term of the late Rep. Sylvester Turner. The district, covering parts of Harris and Fort Bend counties, maintained its strong Democratic tilt despite mid-decade redistricting that altered boundaries and prompted the incumbent matchup. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee after winning his March 2026 primary but has faced limited visibility and resources in the heavily Democratic seat. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around Menefee's commanding position. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,180Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District after defeating longtime Rep. Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, following his January 2026 special election victory to complete the term of the late Rep. Sylvester Turner. The district, covering parts of Harris and Fort Bend counties, maintained its strong Democratic tilt despite mid-decade redistricting that altered boundaries and prompted the incumbent matchup. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee after winning his March 2026 primary but has faced limited visibility and resources in the heavily Democratic seat. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around Menefee's commanding position. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive dynamics make such changes improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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