Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a substantial edge in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+5 partisan voter index. Carey’s fundraising advantage exceeds $3.3 million compared with roughly $607,000 for Democratic nominee Don Leonard, while Carey ran unopposed in the May primary. A late-June Hart Research poll showed Carey leading Leonard 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, consistent with the district’s suburban and rural composition around Columbus. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major subsequent polling shifts or district-altering events reported, trader consensus reflects Carey’s structural advantages in an environment favoring the incumbent party.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$13,329 Vol.
$13,329 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
77%
Don Leonard (D)
23%
$13,329 Vol.
$13,329 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$4,967 Vol.
77%
Don Leonard (D)
$8,362 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a substantial edge in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+5 partisan voter index. Carey’s fundraising advantage exceeds $3.3 million compared with roughly $607,000 for Democratic nominee Don Leonard, while Carey ran unopposed in the May primary. A late-June Hart Research poll showed Carey leading Leonard 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, consistent with the district’s suburban and rural composition around Columbus. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major subsequent polling shifts or district-altering events reported, trader consensus reflects Carey’s structural advantages in an environment favoring the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,329Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a substantial edge in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+5 partisan voter index. Carey’s fundraising advantage exceeds $3.3 million compared with roughly $607,000 for Democratic nominee Don Leonard, while Carey ran unopposed in the May primary. A late-June Hart Research poll showed Carey leading Leonard 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, consistent with the district’s suburban and rural composition around Columbus. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major subsequent polling shifts or district-altering events reported, trader consensus reflects Carey’s structural advantages in an environment favoring the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,329Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a substantial edge in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, a seat rated Likely or Solid Republican by major forecasters and carrying an R+5 partisan voter index. Carey’s fundraising advantage exceeds $3.3 million compared with roughly $607,000 for Democratic nominee Don Leonard, while Carey ran unopposed in the May primary. A late-June Hart Research poll showed Carey leading Leonard 45-40 percent in a three-way contest, consistent with the district’s suburban and rural composition around Columbus. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major subsequent polling shifts or district-altering events reported, trader consensus reflects Carey’s structural advantages in an environment favoring the incumbent party.
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