Oregon’s all-mail voting system typically supports solid general election participation, yet the Senate race features a heavily favored incumbent Democrat facing minimal opposition, limiting mobilization incentives compared to competitive contests. The May primary set a midterm record with over 1.28 million ballots cast, fueled by a rejected transportation tax measure that boosted unaffiliated turnout. Absent similar high-salience ballot items or tight statewide races in November, traders appear to price in moderate enthusiasm and possible voter fatigue, placing the highest probability on totals below 1.5 million. National midterm dynamics and ongoing cost-of-living concerns could still lift participation if they spur broader engagement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOregon Senate Election: Turnout
Oregon Senate Election: Turnout
2M-2.1M 29%
1.5M-1.6M 17.9%
1.7M-1.8M 14%
2.1M-2.2M 14%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<1.5M
23%
1.5M-1.6M
18%
1.6M-1.7M
6%
1.7M-1.8M
18%
1.8M-1.9M
8%
1.9M-2M
9%
2M-2.1M
15%
2.1M-2.2M
14%
2.2M+
7%
2M-2.1M 29%
1.5M-1.6M 17.9%
1.7M-1.8M 14%
2.1M-2.2M 14%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<1.5M
$153 Vol.
23%
1.5M-1.6M
$102 Vol.
18%
1.6M-1.7M
$70 Vol.
6%
1.7M-1.8M
$138 Vol.
18%
1.8M-1.9M
$57 Vol.
8%
1.9M-2M
$60 Vol.
9%
2M-2.1M
$165 Vol.
15%
2.1M-2.2M
$53 Vol.
14%
2.2M+
$81 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oregon’s all-mail voting system typically supports solid general election participation, yet the Senate race features a heavily favored incumbent Democrat facing minimal opposition, limiting mobilization incentives compared to competitive contests. The May primary set a midterm record with over 1.28 million ballots cast, fueled by a rejected transportation tax measure that boosted unaffiliated turnout. Absent similar high-salience ballot items or tight statewide races in November, traders appear to price in moderate enthusiasm and possible voter fatigue, placing the highest probability on totals below 1.5 million. National midterm dynamics and ongoing cost-of-living concerns could still lift participation if they spur broader engagement.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$879Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oregon’s all-mail voting system typically supports solid general election participation, yet the Senate race features a heavily favored incumbent Democrat facing minimal opposition, limiting mobilization incentives compared to competitive contests. The May primary set a midterm record with over 1.28 million ballots cast, fueled by a rejected transportation tax measure that boosted unaffiliated turnout. Absent similar high-salience ballot items or tight statewide races in November, traders appear to price in moderate enthusiasm and possible voter fatigue, placing the highest probability on totals below 1.5 million. National midterm dynamics and ongoing cost-of-living concerns could still lift participation if they spur broader engagement.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$879Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oregon’s all-mail voting system typically supports solid general election participation, yet the Senate race features a heavily favored incumbent Democrat facing minimal opposition, limiting mobilization incentives compared to competitive contests. The May primary set a midterm record with over 1.28 million ballots cast, fueled by a rejected transportation tax measure that boosted unaffiliated turnout. Absent similar high-salience ballot items or tight statewide races in November, traders appear to price in moderate enthusiasm and possible voter fatigue, placing the highest probability on totals below 1.5 million. National midterm dynamics and ongoing cost-of-living concerns could still lift participation if they spur broader engagement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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