Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
1.2M-1.3M 48%
1.1M-1.2M 41%
1M-1.1M 10.0%
1.4M+ 4.4%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<900K
<1%
900K-1M
1%
1M-1.1M
10%
1.1M-1.2M
41%
1.2M-1.3M
48%
1.3M-1.4M
3%
1.4M+
4%
1.2M-1.3M 48%
1.1M-1.2M 41%
1M-1.1M 10.0%
1.4M+ 4.4%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<900K
$341 Vol.
<1%
900K-1M
$354 Vol.
1%
1M-1.1M
$244 Vol.
10%
1.1M-1.2M
$1,349 Vol.
41%
1.2M-1.3M
$655 Vol.
48%
1.3M-1.4M
$2,014 Vol.
3%
1.4M+
$719 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$5,675Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,675Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern against Democrat N'Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open seat, with forecasts projecting a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of below-national-average participation in non-presidential elections, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near 1.1–1.3 million. Recent June primaries drew only about 26% of registered voters statewide, illustrating persistent challenges with engagement. Low Democratic primary volume and limited national attention further constrain upside potential, while standard factors such as early and absentee voting access plus voter ID requirements introduce modest variability. The narrow spread between the leading turnout bins reflects uncertainty over whether base mobilization or broader apathy will prevail by November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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