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icon for Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
Politik·Jumlah Pemilih

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
Politik·Jumlah Pemilih

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout

<2M 37.7%

2.75M-2.9M 33%

2.9M-3.05M 24%

2.6M-2.75M 14%

Polymarket
BARU

<2M 37.7%

2.75M-2.9M 33%

2.9M-3.05M 24%

2.6M-2.75M 14%

Polymarket
BARU

<2M

$156 Vol.

38%

2M-2.15M

$161 Vol.

6%

2.15M-2.3M

$268 Vol.

5%

2.3M-2.45M

$145 Vol.

4%

2.45M-2.6M

$200 Vol.

12%

2.6M-2.75M

$486 Vol.

14%

2.75M-2.9M

$308 Vol.

33%

2.9M-3.05M

$676 Vol.

24%

3.05M+

$283 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 2026 U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with recent polling averages showing margins of roughly 2–6 points, anchors trader expectations for Minnesota turnout near 2.75–3.05 million votes. Competitive statewide dynamics, including open-seat positioning after Tina Smith’s retirement and overlapping state Senate contests, sustain mobilization efforts across suburban Hennepin County strongholds and Greater Minnesota regions. Early voting that began September 18, combined with August primary participation showing elevated Democratic engagement, supports the current spread between leading turnout brackets. Historical midterm patterns, where eligible-voter rates typically fall below presidential-year levels around 60 percent, and the absence of a presidential contest keep probabilities balanced, as shifts in independent turnout or last-minute campaign intensity could separate the ranges.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,682
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 2026 U.S. Senate race between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with recent polling averages showing margins of roughly 2–6 points, anchors trader expectations for Minnesota turnout near 2.75–3.05 million votes. Competitive statewide dynamics, including open-seat positioning after Tina Smith’s retirement and overlapping state Senate contests, sustain mobilization efforts across suburban Hennepin County strongholds and Greater Minnesota regions. Early voting that began September 18, combined with August primary participation showing elevated Democratic engagement, supports the current spread between leading turnout brackets. Historical midterm patterns, where eligible-voter rates typically fall below presidential-year levels around 60 percent, and the absence of a presidential contest keep probabilities balanced, as shifts in independent turnout or last-minute campaign intensity could separate the ranges.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,682
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<2M" di 38%, diikuti oleh "2.75M-2.9M" di 33%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 18, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout" adalah "<2M" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "2.75M-2.9M" di 33%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.