Gabe Amo’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the district’s Partisan Voter Index. Amo secured unopposed renomination in the September 9 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also faced no primary opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$36,179 Vol.
$36,179 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
93%
Kellie Keenan (R)
5%
$36,179 Vol.
$36,179 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
$6,100 Vol.
93%
Kellie Keenan (R)
$30,079 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the district’s Partisan Voter Index. Amo secured unopposed renomination in the September 9 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also faced no primary opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$36,179Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the district’s Partisan Voter Index. Amo secured unopposed renomination in the September 9 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also faced no primary opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,179Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gabe Amo’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin and the district’s Partisan Voter Index. Amo secured unopposed renomination in the September 9 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 63 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan also faced no primary opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns. The November 3 general election includes an independent candidate, but trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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