Bobby Scott's commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 1992, Scott faced no primary opposition in August 2026 and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer who advanced without a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, where independent candidates also appear on the ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow the gap in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$63,485 Vol.
$63,485 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
97%
Edwin Rivera (R)
4%
$63,485 Vol.
$63,485 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,590 Vol.
97%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,895 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott's commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 1992, Scott faced no primary opposition in August 2026 and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer who advanced without a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, where independent candidates also appear on the ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow the gap in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$63,485Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott's commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 1992, Scott faced no primary opposition in August 2026 and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer who advanced without a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, where independent candidates also appear on the ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow the gap in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,485Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Scott's commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the longtime incumbent first elected in 1992, Scott faced no primary opposition in August 2026 and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer who advanced without a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, where independent candidates also appear on the ballot. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow the gap in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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