Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The seat, anchored in Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw McClellan advance unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell face limited visibility and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVA-04 House Election Winner
VA-04 House Election Winner
$41,681 Vol.
$41,681 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jennifer McClellan (D)
97%
Robert Murray (R)
2%
$41,681 Vol.
$41,681 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jennifer McClellan (D)
$12,217 Vol.
97%
Robert Murray (R)
$29,463 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The seat, anchored in Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw McClellan advance unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell face limited visibility and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$41,681Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The seat, anchored in Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw McClellan advance unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell face limited visibility and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,681Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The seat, anchored in Richmond and parts of Southside Virginia, saw McClellan advance unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell face limited visibility and fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
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