Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$56,544 Vol.
$56,544 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R)
81%
Carmela Conroy (D)
18%
$56,544 Vol.
$56,544 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Baumgartner (R)
$22,800 Vol.
81%
Carmela Conroy (D)
$33,744 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$56,544Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,544Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
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