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icon for Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?
Ekonomi·Jerome Powell

Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?

icon for Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?
Ekonomi·Jerome Powell

Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?

$1,814,031 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,814,031 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5,5%

$54,889 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,25%

$142,516 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,0%

$19,015 Vol.

3%

↑ 4,75%

$80,602 Vol.

5%

↑ 4,5%

$38,791 Vol.

15%

↑ 4,25%

$122,892 Vol.

40%

↓ 3,25%

$81,283 Vol.

9%

↓ 3,0%

$314,172 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,75%

$363,655 Vol.

3%

↓ 2,5%

$222,614 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,25%

$40,693 Vol.

3%

↓ 2,0%

$18,810 Vol.

3%

↓ 1,75%

$12,289 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,5%

$28,320 Vol.

2%

↓ 1,25%

$3,778 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,0%

$2,205 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,75%

$731 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,5%

$106,984 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,25%

$131,589 Vol.

3%

↓ 0%

$19,202 Vol.

2%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The primary driver shaping trader sentiment on the federal funds rate path before 2027 remains persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target alongside geopolitical supply shocks, which have prompted the FOMC to hold the policy rate at 3.50–3.75% through multiple 2026 meetings and shifted market-implied odds toward further hikes or an extended pause rather than cuts. Recent labor-market resilience and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions have reinforced this hawkish tilt, with the June dot plot projecting a 3.8% midpoint for year-end 2026 and no reductions until 2027. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, featuring fresh economic projections and incoming CPI and employment data, represents the next key catalyst that could alter the rate path priced into futures and prediction markets.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,814,031
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The primary driver shaping trader sentiment on the federal funds rate path before 2027 remains persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target alongside geopolitical supply shocks, which have prompted the FOMC to hold the policy rate at 3.50–3.75% through multiple 2026 meetings and shifted market-implied odds toward further hikes or an extended pause rather than cuts. Recent labor-market resilience and elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions have reinforced this hawkish tilt, with the June dot plot projecting a 3.8% midpoint for year-end 2026 and no reductions until 2027. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, featuring fresh economic projections and incoming CPI and employment data, represents the next key catalyst that could alter the rate path priced into futures and prediction markets.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,814,031
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

56%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

60%
icon for Kenaikan suku bunga The Fed pada tahun 2026?

Kenaikan suku bunga The Fed pada tahun 2026?

89%
Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "↓ 3,5%" di 100%, diikuti oleh "↑ 4,25%" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $1.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?" adalah "↓ 3,5%" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "↑ 4,25%" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Apa yang akan dicapai Fed Rate sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.