The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through five consecutive meetings in 2026, with the July 28-29 decision passing on a 9-3 vote as three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. Elevated inflation—July PCE at 3.7% and June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year—driven by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions and tariff effects has sustained policy caution, reinforced by Chair Kevin Warsh’s strict commitment to the 2% target. July FOMC minutes highlighted broad-based price pressures and the risk of needing tighter policy if inflation fails to moderate. Recent labor data showing softer job growth has tempered expectations, while futures markets price roughly even odds of a September move. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside incoming CPI and employment releases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2,613,367 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
September Meeting
56%
October Meeting
65%
$2,613,367 Vol.
September Meeting
$1,094,349 Vol.
56%
October Meeting
$559,018 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through five consecutive meetings in 2026, with the July 28-29 decision passing on a 9-3 vote as three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. Elevated inflation—July PCE at 3.7% and June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year—driven by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions and tariff effects has sustained policy caution, reinforced by Chair Kevin Warsh’s strict commitment to the 2% target. July FOMC minutes highlighted broad-based price pressures and the risk of needing tighter policy if inflation fails to moderate. Recent labor data showing softer job growth has tempered expectations, while futures markets price roughly even odds of a September move. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside incoming CPI and employment releases.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,613,367Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through five consecutive meetings in 2026, with the July 28-29 decision passing on a 9-3 vote as three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. Elevated inflation—July PCE at 3.7% and June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year—driven by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions and tariff effects has sustained policy caution, reinforced by Chair Kevin Warsh’s strict commitment to the 2% target. July FOMC minutes highlighted broad-based price pressures and the risk of needing tighter policy if inflation fails to moderate. Recent labor data showing softer job growth has tempered expectations, while futures markets price roughly even odds of a September move. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside incoming CPI and employment releases.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,613,367Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% through five consecutive meetings in 2026, with the July 28-29 decision passing on a 9-3 vote as three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. Elevated inflation—July PCE at 3.7% and June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year—driven by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions and tariff effects has sustained policy caution, reinforced by Chair Kevin Warsh’s strict commitment to the 2% target. July FOMC minutes highlighted broad-based price pressures and the risk of needing tighter policy if inflation fails to moderate. Recent labor data showing softer job growth has tempered expectations, while futures markets price roughly even odds of a September move. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside incoming CPI and employment releases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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