US forces conducted strikes on Iranian rocket launchers in the Strait of Hormuz on August 30, 2026—the first military action in a month—prompting Iranian ballistic missile responses targeting US-linked sites in Jordan and the UAE. This flare-up occurs six months into the conflict that began with US-Israeli strikes in late February, amid a fragile post-April ceasefire, June memorandum of understanding, and subsequent shift to US economic sanctions and naval counter-blockade. Iran continues to restrict Hormuz shipping while pursuing talks via Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan; Washington emphasizes nuclear limits and has notified Congress of actions under existing authorities. No formal declaration of war has been issued, with trader assessments shaped by the pattern of limited strikes, mediator involvement, and upcoming diplomatic or G20 pressure points that could influence escalation or de-escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
$7,802,124 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Desember
4%
$7,802,124 Vol.
31 Desember
$829,490 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted strikes on Iranian rocket launchers in the Strait of Hormuz on August 30, 2026—the first military action in a month—prompting Iranian ballistic missile responses targeting US-linked sites in Jordan and the UAE. This flare-up occurs six months into the conflict that began with US-Israeli strikes in late February, amid a fragile post-April ceasefire, June memorandum of understanding, and subsequent shift to US economic sanctions and naval counter-blockade. Iran continues to restrict Hormuz shipping while pursuing talks via Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan; Washington emphasizes nuclear limits and has notified Congress of actions under existing authorities. No formal declaration of war has been issued, with trader assessments shaped by the pattern of limited strikes, mediator involvement, and upcoming diplomatic or G20 pressure points that could influence escalation or de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,802,124Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted strikes on Iranian rocket launchers in the Strait of Hormuz on August 30, 2026—the first military action in a month—prompting Iranian ballistic missile responses targeting US-linked sites in Jordan and the UAE. This flare-up occurs six months into the conflict that began with US-Israeli strikes in late February, amid a fragile post-April ceasefire, June memorandum of understanding, and subsequent shift to US economic sanctions and naval counter-blockade. Iran continues to restrict Hormuz shipping while pursuing talks via Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan; Washington emphasizes nuclear limits and has notified Congress of actions under existing authorities. No formal declaration of war has been issued, with trader assessments shaped by the pattern of limited strikes, mediator involvement, and upcoming diplomatic or G20 pressure points that could influence escalation or de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,802,124Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted strikes on Iranian rocket launchers in the Strait of Hormuz on August 30, 2026—the first military action in a month—prompting Iranian ballistic missile responses targeting US-linked sites in Jordan and the UAE. This flare-up occurs six months into the conflict that began with US-Israeli strikes in late February, amid a fragile post-April ceasefire, June memorandum of understanding, and subsequent shift to US economic sanctions and naval counter-blockade. Iran continues to restrict Hormuz shipping while pursuing talks via Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan; Washington emphasizes nuclear limits and has notified Congress of actions under existing authorities. No formal declaration of war has been issued, with trader assessments shaped by the pattern of limited strikes, mediator involvement, and upcoming diplomatic or G20 pressure points that could influence escalation or de-escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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