Robert Aderholt, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Alabama's 4th congressional district since 1997, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, stems from its rural, conservative voter base across north-central Alabama counties. Aderholt secured renomination with over 77 percent in the May primary, while Pusczek advanced from a low-turnout Democratic contest with limited fundraising. All major nonpartisan analysts view the seat as a secure Republican hold, with trader consensus aligning to historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that could narrow the margin. An unforeseen scandal or health event remains the primary remote risk to the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAL-04 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
AL-04 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$38,121 Vol.
$38,121 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Robert Aderholt (R)
98%
Amanda Pusczek (D)
<1%
$38,121 Vol.
$38,121 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Robert Aderholt (R)
$19,957 Vol.
98%
Amanda Pusczek (D)
$18,164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Robert Aderholt, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Alabama's 4th congressional district since 1997, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, stems from its rural, conservative voter base across north-central Alabama counties. Aderholt secured renomination with over 77 percent in the May primary, while Pusczek advanced from a low-turnout Democratic contest with limited fundraising. All major nonpartisan analysts view the seat as a secure Republican hold, with trader consensus aligning to historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that could narrow the margin. An unforeseen scandal or health event remains the primary remote risk to the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$38,121Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Robert Aderholt, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Alabama's 4th congressional district since 1997, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, stems from its rural, conservative voter base across north-central Alabama counties. Aderholt secured renomination with over 77 percent in the May primary, while Pusczek advanced from a low-turnout Democratic contest with limited fundraising. All major nonpartisan analysts view the seat as a secure Republican hold, with trader consensus aligning to historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that could narrow the margin. An unforeseen scandal or health event remains the primary remote risk to the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,121Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Robert Aderholt, the longtime Republican incumbent representing Alabama's 4th congressional district since 1997, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, stems from its rural, conservative voter base across north-central Alabama counties. Aderholt secured renomination with over 77 percent in the May primary, while Pusczek advanced from a low-turnout Democratic contest with limited fundraising. All major nonpartisan analysts view the seat as a secure Republican hold, with trader consensus aligning to historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that could narrow the margin. An unforeseen scandal or health event remains the primary remote risk to the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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