Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st district strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The northeastern rural and agricultural area has delivered Republican victories exceeding 70 percent in recent House elections, and forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green after both parties’ March primaries were canceled, leaving limited opposition infrastructure and fundraising. No major polling shifts or controversies have emerged since candidate filing closed. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave that compresses margins in deep-red territory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera AR-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera AR-01
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
1%
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$16,297 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$10,259 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st district strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The northeastern rural and agricultural area has delivered Republican victories exceeding 70 percent in recent House elections, and forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green after both parties’ March primaries were canceled, leaving limited opposition infrastructure and fundraising. No major polling shifts or controversies have emerged since candidate filing closed. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave that compresses margins in deep-red territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,556Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st district strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The northeastern rural and agricultural area has delivered Republican victories exceeding 70 percent in recent House elections, and forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green after both parties’ March primaries were canceled, leaving limited opposition infrastructure and fundraising. No major polling shifts or controversies have emerged since candidate filing closed. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave that compresses margins in deep-red territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,556Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st district strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The northeastern rural and agricultural area has delivered Republican victories exceeding 70 percent in recent House elections, and forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green after both parties’ March primaries were canceled, leaving limited opposition infrastructure and fundraising. No major polling shifts or controversies have emerged since candidate filing closed. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave that compresses margins in deep-red territory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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