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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw

Kyle Campbell 100.0%

Mike Derry 1.2%

John Roggeveen <1%

Kyle Joseph <1%

Polymarket

$29,219 Vol.

Kyle Campbell 100.0%

Mike Derry 1.2%

John Roggeveen <1%

Kyle Joseph <1%

Polymarket

$29,219 Vol.

icon for Mike Derry

Mike Derry

$14,593 Vol.

No

icon for Kyle Campbell

Kyle Campbell

$12,445 Vol.

icon for John Roggeveen

John Roggeveen

$1,141 Vol.

No

icon for Kyle Joseph

Kyle Joseph

$1,039 Vol.

No

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Kyle Campbell secured the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election on September 14, 2026, after unofficial results showed the Alberta NDP candidate receiving 46.63 percent of the vote to defeat United Conservative Party nominee Mike Derry. The riding, previously held by UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz until her resignation in May, flipped to the NDP for the first time since 2015 amid voter priorities on health care access and affordability. Campbell’s community ties as a local resident and resident association president, combined with his emphasis on public services drawn from personal experience, aligned with shifts in turnout and support that produced the decisive margin. Other candidates, including Progressive Tory Kyle Joseph and Liberal leader John Roggeveen, captured smaller shares without altering the outcome. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Campbell reflects these confirmed preliminary tallies, though final certification could still address any outstanding procedural matters.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Volume
$29,219
Data di fine
14 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Kyle Campbell secured the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election on September 14, 2026, after unofficial results showed the Alberta NDP candidate receiving 46.63 percent of the vote to defeat United Conservative Party nominee Mike Derry. The riding, previously held by UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz until her resignation in May, flipped to the NDP for the first time since 2015 amid voter priorities on health care access and affordability. Campbell’s community ties as a local resident and resident association president, combined with his emphasis on public services drawn from personal experience, aligned with shifts in turnout and support that produced the decisive margin. Other candidates, including Progressive Tory Kyle Joseph and Liberal leader John Roggeveen, captured smaller shares without altering the outcome. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Campbell reflects these confirmed preliminary tallies, though final certification could still address any outstanding procedural matters.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Volume
$29,219
Data di fine
14 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Kyle Campbell" a 100%, seguito da "Mike Derry" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw" ha generato $29.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw" è "Kyle Campbell" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mike Derry" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive provinciali di Calgary-Shaw" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.