The solidly Republican character of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District anchors trader consensus around John Cowan. The seat opened after six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk retired, yet the district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin in 2024 have kept the race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Cowan secured the GOP nomination by winning a June 2026 runoff with 65 percent, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democratic primary winner Chris Harden. With the November 3 contest less than two months away, no recent polling or campaign developments have altered the underlying partisan fundamentals that support the current implied probabilities. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this suburban Atlanta district make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-11 House Election Winner
GA-11 House Election Winner
$45,080 Vol.
$45,080 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Cowan (R)
93%
Chris Harden (D)
6%
$45,080 Vol.
$45,080 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Cowan (R)
$32,124 Vol.
93%
Chris Harden (D)
$12,956 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District anchors trader consensus around John Cowan. The seat opened after six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk retired, yet the district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin in 2024 have kept the race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Cowan secured the GOP nomination by winning a June 2026 runoff with 65 percent, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democratic primary winner Chris Harden. With the November 3 contest less than two months away, no recent polling or campaign developments have altered the underlying partisan fundamentals that support the current implied probabilities. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this suburban Atlanta district make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$45,080Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District anchors trader consensus around John Cowan. The seat opened after six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk retired, yet the district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin in 2024 have kept the race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Cowan secured the GOP nomination by winning a June 2026 runoff with 65 percent, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democratic primary winner Chris Harden. With the November 3 contest less than two months away, no recent polling or campaign developments have altered the underlying partisan fundamentals that support the current implied probabilities. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this suburban Atlanta district make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,080Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Georgia’s 11th Congressional District anchors trader consensus around John Cowan. The seat opened after six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk retired, yet the district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump’s 18.5-point margin in 2024 have kept the race rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Cowan secured the GOP nomination by winning a June 2026 runoff with 65 percent, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite against Democratic primary winner Chris Harden. With the November 3 contest less than two months away, no recent polling or campaign developments have altered the underlying partisan fundamentals that support the current implied probabilities. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this suburban Atlanta district make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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