Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position the primary driver of trader sentiment around a 21°C maximum in Warsaw on September 1, with ensemble consensus showing light westerly flow, modest cloud cover, and limited diurnal heating. This reflects a transition from warmer late-August conditions, with daytime temperatures expected near 20–22°C amid weak precipitation chances that could suppress peaks. Historical early-September averages near 20–22°C provide climatological context, while minor model disagreements on exact timing of any showers introduce modest uncertainty favoring the 20°C and 22°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final daily high before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 1° settembre?
21°C 49%
20°C 28%
22°C 14%
19°C 3%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
49%
22°C
14%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 49%
20°C 28%
22°C 14%
19°C 3%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
49%
22°C
14%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position the primary driver of trader sentiment around a 21°C maximum in Warsaw on September 1, with ensemble consensus showing light westerly flow, modest cloud cover, and limited diurnal heating. This reflects a transition from warmer late-August conditions, with daytime temperatures expected near 20–22°C amid weak precipitation chances that could suppress peaks. Historical early-September averages near 20–22°C provide climatological context, while minor model disagreements on exact timing of any showers introduce modest uncertainty favoring the 20°C and 22°C outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine the final daily high before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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