Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary after prevailing in a crowded field that included state Senator Laura Fine and content creator Kat Abughazaleh. The open seat, long held by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, carries a strong Democratic partisan voter index and has drawn solid or safe ratings from major forecasters. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a lower-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. A September 24 candidate forum offers the first joint appearance ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, with any meaningful shift in odds likely requiring unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary after prevailing in a crowded field that included state Senator Laura Fine and content creator Kat Abughazaleh. The open seat, long held by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, carries a strong Democratic partisan voter index and has drawn solid or safe ratings from major forecasters. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a lower-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. A September 24 candidate forum offers the first joint appearance ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, with any meaningful shift in odds likely requiring unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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