India's CPI inflation for fiscal 2026-27 is projected by the RBI at 5.0 percent, with quarterly paths showing a rise to 5.9 percent in Q3 before moderating, supporting the 90 percent market-implied probability on the 4.50 percent-plus outcome. Recent July 2026 readings printed at 4.45 percent, up from 4.38 percent in June, reflecting pass-through from higher food and energy prices amid Middle East supply pressures and rupee depreciation. Core inflation excluding food and fuel remains contained near 3.9 percent, indicating limited demand-side generalization so far. Professional forecasters' median aligns with the RBI's 5.0 percent annual estimate, while the policy repo rate stays at 5.25 percent with risks viewed as balanced. Upcoming data releases and monsoon impacts will influence the final annual average.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,50%+ 90%
3,75% a 4,49% 5.6%
<0,75% 1.8%
3,00% - 3,74% 1.0%
$83,499 Vol.
$83,499 Vol.
11 gen 2027
<0,75%
2%
0,75% a 1,49%
<1%
1,50% a 2,24%
<1%
2,25% a 2,99%
<1%
3,00% - 3,74%
1%
3,75% a 4,49%
6%
4,50%+
90%
4,50%+ 90%
3,75% a 4,49% 5.6%
<0,75% 1.8%
3,00% - 3,74% 1.0%
$83,499 Vol.
$83,499 Vol.
11 gen 2027
<0,75%
$2,299 Vol.
2%
0,75% a 1,49%
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
1,50% a 2,24%
$1,576 Vol.
<1%
2,25% a 2,99%
$25,343 Vol.
<1%
3,00% - 3,74%
$2,407 Vol.
1%
3,75% a 4,49%
$30,271 Vol.
6%
4,50%+
$20,087 Vol.
90%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's CPI inflation for fiscal 2026-27 is projected by the RBI at 5.0 percent, with quarterly paths showing a rise to 5.9 percent in Q3 before moderating, supporting the 90 percent market-implied probability on the 4.50 percent-plus outcome. Recent July 2026 readings printed at 4.45 percent, up from 4.38 percent in June, reflecting pass-through from higher food and energy prices amid Middle East supply pressures and rupee depreciation. Core inflation excluding food and fuel remains contained near 3.9 percent, indicating limited demand-side generalization so far. Professional forecasters' median aligns with the RBI's 5.0 percent annual estimate, while the policy repo rate stays at 5.25 percent with risks viewed as balanced. Upcoming data releases and monsoon impacts will influence the final annual average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$83,499Data di fine
12 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's CPI inflation for fiscal 2026-27 is projected by the RBI at 5.0 percent, with quarterly paths showing a rise to 5.9 percent in Q3 before moderating, supporting the 90 percent market-implied probability on the 4.50 percent-plus outcome. Recent July 2026 readings printed at 4.45 percent, up from 4.38 percent in June, reflecting pass-through from higher food and energy prices amid Middle East supply pressures and rupee depreciation. Core inflation excluding food and fuel remains contained near 3.9 percent, indicating limited demand-side generalization so far. Professional forecasters' median aligns with the RBI's 5.0 percent annual estimate, while the policy repo rate stays at 5.25 percent with risks viewed as balanced. Upcoming data releases and monsoon impacts will influence the final annual average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volume
$83,499Data di fine
12 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...India's CPI inflation for fiscal 2026-27 is projected by the RBI at 5.0 percent, with quarterly paths showing a rise to 5.9 percent in Q3 before moderating, supporting the 90 percent market-implied probability on the 4.50 percent-plus outcome. Recent July 2026 readings printed at 4.45 percent, up from 4.38 percent in June, reflecting pass-through from higher food and energy prices amid Middle East supply pressures and rupee depreciation. Core inflation excluding food and fuel remains contained near 3.9 percent, indicating limited demand-side generalization so far. Professional forecasters' median aligns with the RBI's 5.0 percent annual estimate, while the policy repo rate stays at 5.25 percent with risks viewed as balanced. Upcoming data releases and monsoon impacts will influence the final annual average.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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