Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s projected parliamentary majority of around 326 seats in recent Mood of the Nation surveys and the party’s May 2026 assembly election gains in West Bengal. The next national elections are not due until 2029, and no credible challenges such as a no-confidence motion or coalition fracture have emerged. July 2026 student protests prompted the education minister’s resignation and subsequent exam reforms, yet these events produced no broader instability or leadership change. Modi’s personal approval as preferred prime minister stands near 49 percent, well ahead of opposition figures, while economic pressures like inflation have not translated into immediate threats to government continuity. Traders’ high implied probability on “No” reflects this combination of institutional strength and the short remaining timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoModi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
6% probabilità
$250,558 Vol.
$250,558 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$250,558 Vol.
$250,558 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s projected parliamentary majority of around 326 seats in recent Mood of the Nation surveys and the party’s May 2026 assembly election gains in West Bengal. The next national elections are not due until 2029, and no credible challenges such as a no-confidence motion or coalition fracture have emerged. July 2026 student protests prompted the education minister’s resignation and subsequent exam reforms, yet these events produced no broader instability or leadership change. Modi’s personal approval as preferred prime minister stands near 49 percent, well ahead of opposition figures, while economic pressures like inflation have not translated into immediate threats to government continuity. Traders’ high implied probability on “No” reflects this combination of institutional strength and the short remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$250,558Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s projected parliamentary majority of around 326 seats in recent Mood of the Nation surveys and the party’s May 2026 assembly election gains in West Bengal. The next national elections are not due until 2029, and no credible challenges such as a no-confidence motion or coalition fracture have emerged. July 2026 student protests prompted the education minister’s resignation and subsequent exam reforms, yet these events produced no broader instability or leadership change. Modi’s personal approval as preferred prime minister stands near 49 percent, well ahead of opposition figures, while economic pressures like inflation have not translated into immediate threats to government continuity. Traders’ high implied probability on “No” reflects this combination of institutional strength and the short remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$250,558Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s projected parliamentary majority of around 326 seats in recent Mood of the Nation surveys and the party’s May 2026 assembly election gains in West Bengal. The next national elections are not due until 2029, and no credible challenges such as a no-confidence motion or coalition fracture have emerged. July 2026 student protests prompted the education minister’s resignation and subsequent exam reforms, yet these events produced no broader instability or leadership change. Modi’s personal approval as preferred prime minister stands near 49 percent, well ahead of opposition figures, while economic pressures like inflation have not translated into immediate threats to government continuity. Traders’ high implied probability on “No” reflects this combination of institutional strength and the short remaining timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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