Ashley Hinson holds the stronger position in Iowa’s open U.S. Senate contest to succeed retiring Republican Joni Ernst, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican lean in recent federal elections and Hinson’s profile as a sitting congresswoman with Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge. Recent polling shows a competitive race, with aggregates placing Hinson narrowly ahead or tied and some surveys, including a late Rasmussen poll, showing Turek leading among likely voters on issues such as costs and independent support. Both candidates are actively campaigning on agriculture, inflation, and public safety ahead of an October 7 debate, with Hinson highlighting law enforcement endorsements and Turek emphasizing cross-party backing and cost-of-living concerns. Trader consensus assigns Hinson the higher implied probability in this toss-up environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Iowa
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Iowa
$270,862 Vol.
$270,862 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
62%
Josh Turek (D)
39%
$270,862 Vol.
$270,862 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$137,972 Vol.
62%
Josh Turek (D)
$132,890 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds the stronger position in Iowa’s open U.S. Senate contest to succeed retiring Republican Joni Ernst, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican lean in recent federal elections and Hinson’s profile as a sitting congresswoman with Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge. Recent polling shows a competitive race, with aggregates placing Hinson narrowly ahead or tied and some surveys, including a late Rasmussen poll, showing Turek leading among likely voters on issues such as costs and independent support. Both candidates are actively campaigning on agriculture, inflation, and public safety ahead of an October 7 debate, with Hinson highlighting law enforcement endorsements and Turek emphasizing cross-party backing and cost-of-living concerns. Trader consensus assigns Hinson the higher implied probability in this toss-up environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$270,862Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds the stronger position in Iowa’s open U.S. Senate contest to succeed retiring Republican Joni Ernst, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican lean in recent federal elections and Hinson’s profile as a sitting congresswoman with Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge. Recent polling shows a competitive race, with aggregates placing Hinson narrowly ahead or tied and some surveys, including a late Rasmussen poll, showing Turek leading among likely voters on issues such as costs and independent support. Both candidates are actively campaigning on agriculture, inflation, and public safety ahead of an October 7 debate, with Hinson highlighting law enforcement endorsements and Turek emphasizing cross-party backing and cost-of-living concerns. Trader consensus assigns Hinson the higher implied probability in this toss-up environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$270,862Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Hinson holds the stronger position in Iowa’s open U.S. Senate contest to succeed retiring Republican Joni Ernst, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican lean in recent federal elections and Hinson’s profile as a sitting congresswoman with Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge. Recent polling shows a competitive race, with aggregates placing Hinson narrowly ahead or tied and some surveys, including a late Rasmussen poll, showing Turek leading among likely voters on issues such as costs and independent support. Both candidates are actively campaigning on agriculture, inflation, and public safety ahead of an October 7 debate, with Hinson highlighting law enforcement endorsements and Turek emphasizing cross-party backing and cost-of-living concerns. Trader consensus assigns Hinson the higher implied probability in this toss-up environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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