Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. As lieutenant governor and the DFL-endorsed nominee, Flanagan benefits from established party infrastructure, progressive grassroots momentum, and historical precedent—no Republican has won a statewide race since 2006. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, faces structural headwinds despite campaign emphasis on public-sector fraud scandals and anti-incumbent messaging. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by modest margins, aligning with the seat’s partisan baseline. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$59,452 Vol.
$59,452 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
94%
Michele Tafoya (R)
8%
$59,452 Vol.
$59,452 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$41,531 Vol.
94%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$17,921 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. As lieutenant governor and the DFL-endorsed nominee, Flanagan benefits from established party infrastructure, progressive grassroots momentum, and historical precedent—no Republican has won a statewide race since 2006. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, faces structural headwinds despite campaign emphasis on public-sector fraud scandals and anti-incumbent messaging. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by modest margins, aligning with the seat’s partisan baseline. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$59,452Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. As lieutenant governor and the DFL-endorsed nominee, Flanagan benefits from established party infrastructure, progressive grassroots momentum, and historical precedent—no Republican has won a statewide race since 2006. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, faces structural headwinds despite campaign emphasis on public-sector fraud scandals and anti-incumbent messaging. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by modest margins, aligning with the seat’s partisan baseline. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$59,452Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. As lieutenant governor and the DFL-endorsed nominee, Flanagan benefits from established party infrastructure, progressive grassroots momentum, and historical precedent—no Republican has won a statewide race since 2006. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, faces structural headwinds despite campaign emphasis on public-sector fraud scandals and anti-incumbent messaging. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by modest margins, aligning with the seat’s partisan baseline. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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