Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 94.5% to win the November 2026 general election. Her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including a 2024 victory, combined with an easy primary win over challenger Sarah Preu, underscore her strength in Johnson County suburbs and surrounding areas. Eric Jenkins, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his August primary, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district’s slight Democratic tilt per partisan voting indices. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, major scandal, or significant polling reversal could still narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-03 House Election Winner
KS-03 House Election Winner
$29,758 Vol.
$29,758 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sharice Davids (D)
95%
Eric Jenkins (R)
6%
$29,758 Vol.
$29,758 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sharice Davids (D)
$11,476 Vol.
95%
Eric Jenkins (R)
$18,283 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 94.5% to win the November 2026 general election. Her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including a 2024 victory, combined with an easy primary win over challenger Sarah Preu, underscore her strength in Johnson County suburbs and surrounding areas. Eric Jenkins, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his August primary, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district’s slight Democratic tilt per partisan voting indices. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, major scandal, or significant polling reversal could still narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$29,758Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 94.5% to win the November 2026 general election. Her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including a 2024 victory, combined with an easy primary win over challenger Sarah Preu, underscore her strength in Johnson County suburbs and surrounding areas. Eric Jenkins, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his August primary, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district’s slight Democratic tilt per partisan voting indices. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, major scandal, or significant polling reversal could still narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,758Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in the Kansas 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 94.5% to win the November 2026 general election. Her consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, including a 2024 victory, combined with an easy primary win over challenger Sarah Preu, underscore her strength in Johnson County suburbs and surrounding areas. Eric Jenkins, the Republican nominee who prevailed in his August primary, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district’s slight Democratic tilt per partisan voting indices. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, major scandal, or significant polling reversal could still narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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