Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's D+5 to D+11 partisan lean and her 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the affluent western Twin Cities suburbs' voter composition and recent electoral trends. Morrison advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination, limiting opportunities for a stronger challenger. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national environment shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$21,966 Vol.
$21,966 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,966 Vol.
$21,966 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$12,428 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$9,538 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's D+5 to D+11 partisan lean and her 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the affluent western Twin Cities suburbs' voter composition and recent electoral trends. Morrison advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination, limiting opportunities for a stronger challenger. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national environment shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,966Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's D+5 to D+11 partisan lean and her 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the affluent western Twin Cities suburbs' voter composition and recent electoral trends. Morrison advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination, limiting opportunities for a stronger challenger. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national environment shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,966Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat's D+5 to D+11 partisan lean and her 2024 victory margin. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the affluent western Twin Cities suburbs' voter composition and recent electoral trends. Morrison advanced unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination, limiting opportunities for a stronger challenger. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals, though a significant national environment shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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