Republican dominance in Montana, combined with Kurt Alme’s unified party support following his June primary win and endorsements from retiring Senator Steve Daines and President Trump, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position. Recent polling through mid-September shows Alme holding double-digit leads over independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose divided opposition continues to split left-leaning and independent voters in a state where Republicans have held the seat for years. Alme’s background as a former U.S. Attorney and state budget official aligns with voter priorities on crime and fiscal issues. With the November 3 general election weeks away, significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or dramatic turnout changes that have not materialized in current data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Montana
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Montana
Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Indipendente 7.1%
Alani Bankhead (D) 1.2%
$119,554 Vol.
$119,554 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
92%
Indipendente
7%
Alani Bankhead (D)
1%
Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Indipendente 7.1%
Alani Bankhead (D) 1.2%
$119,554 Vol.
$119,554 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
$60,043 Vol.
92%
Indipendente
$18,832 Vol.
7%
Alani Bankhead (D)
$40,679 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican dominance in Montana, combined with Kurt Alme’s unified party support following his June primary win and endorsements from retiring Senator Steve Daines and President Trump, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position. Recent polling through mid-September shows Alme holding double-digit leads over independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose divided opposition continues to split left-leaning and independent voters in a state where Republicans have held the seat for years. Alme’s background as a former U.S. Attorney and state budget official aligns with voter priorities on crime and fiscal issues. With the November 3 general election weeks away, significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or dramatic turnout changes that have not materialized in current data.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$119,554Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican dominance in Montana, combined with Kurt Alme’s unified party support following his June primary win and endorsements from retiring Senator Steve Daines and President Trump, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position. Recent polling through mid-September shows Alme holding double-digit leads over independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose divided opposition continues to split left-leaning and independent voters in a state where Republicans have held the seat for years. Alme’s background as a former U.S. Attorney and state budget official aligns with voter priorities on crime and fiscal issues. With the November 3 general election weeks away, significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or dramatic turnout changes that have not materialized in current data.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$119,554Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Republican dominance in Montana, combined with Kurt Alme’s unified party support following his June primary win and endorsements from retiring Senator Steve Daines and President Trump, has anchored trader consensus around his strong position. Recent polling through mid-September shows Alme holding double-digit leads over independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose divided opposition continues to split left-leaning and independent voters in a state where Republicans have held the seat for years. Alme’s background as a former U.S. Attorney and state budget official aligns with voter priorities on crime and fiscal issues. With the November 3 general election weeks away, significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, late scandals, or dramatic turnout changes that have not materialized in current data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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