Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus update around September 17–18, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations every few weeks, have concentrated trader attention on late-September dates. The latest confirmed Opus 5 arrived July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, leaving room for a rapid follow-up amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs. With no official announcement or model card yet, probabilities remain tightly bunched between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, potential delays, and last-minute verification cycles typical in large language model releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Claude Opus uscirà il...?
Il prossimo Claude Opus uscirà il...?
24 settembre 21%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 19%
22 settembre 19%
23 settembre 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
18 settembre
4%
19 settembre
1%
20 settembre
1%
21 settembre
6%
22 settembre
19%
23 settembre
18%
24 settembre
21%
25 settembre
12%
26 settembre
1%
27 settembre
<1%
28 settembre
5%
29 settembre
11%
30 settembre
7%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre
19%
24 settembre 21%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 19%
22 settembre 19%
23 settembre 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
18 settembre
$156 Vol.
4%
19 settembre
$603 Vol.
1%
20 settembre
$624 Vol.
1%
21 settembre
$134 Vol.
6%
22 settembre
$579 Vol.
19%
23 settembre
$573 Vol.
18%
24 settembre
$1,002 Vol.
21%
25 settembre
$132 Vol.
12%
26 settembre
$553 Vol.
1%
27 settembre
$553 Vol.
<1%
28 settembre
$224 Vol.
5%
29 settembre
$738 Vol.
11%
30 settembre
$430 Vol.
7%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre
$1,440 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus update around September 17–18, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations every few weeks, have concentrated trader attention on late-September dates. The latest confirmed Opus 5 arrived July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, leaving room for a rapid follow-up amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs. With no official announcement or model card yet, probabilities remain tightly bunched between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, potential delays, and last-minute verification cycles typical in large language model releases.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$8,513Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus update around September 17–18, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations every few weeks, have concentrated trader attention on late-September dates. The latest confirmed Opus 5 arrived July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, leaving room for a rapid follow-up amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs. With no official announcement or model card yet, probabilities remain tightly bunched between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, potential delays, and last-minute verification cycles typical in large language model releases.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,513Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus update around September 17–18, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations every few weeks, have concentrated trader attention on late-September dates. The latest confirmed Opus 5 arrived July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1, leaving room for a rapid follow-up amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs. With no official announcement or model card yet, probabilities remain tightly bunched between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, potential delays, and last-minute verification cycles typical in large language model releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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