Incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the slightly Democratic-leaning district, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding several million dollars in cash on hand, and uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, a first-time candidate with limited campaign resources under $60,000 raised, faces structural barriers including the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns favoring the sitting representative. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift from unforeseen events such as major scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$26,262 Vol.
$26,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
3%
$26,262 Vol.
$26,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
$19,077 Vol.
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
$7,185 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the slightly Democratic-leaning district, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding several million dollars in cash on hand, and uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, a first-time candidate with limited campaign resources under $60,000 raised, faces structural barriers including the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns favoring the sitting representative. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift from unforeseen events such as major scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$26,262Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the slightly Democratic-leaning district, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding several million dollars in cash on hand, and uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, a first-time candidate with limited campaign resources under $60,000 raised, faces structural barriers including the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns favoring the sitting representative. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift from unforeseen events such as major scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,262Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 House race due to his established record in the slightly Democratic-leaning district, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding several million dollars in cash on hand, and uncontested Democratic primary in June 2026. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, a first-time candidate with limited campaign resources under $60,000 raised, faces structural barriers including the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns favoring the sitting representative. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could still shift from unforeseen events such as major scandals, health issues, or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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