Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor after a narrow August 2026 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond, aided by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial self-funding, and outside support. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around his 92.5% implied probability against Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson. Munson, the House minority leader, won her primary decisively but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2011. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout surges before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore dell'Oklahoma
Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore dell'Oklahoma
$29,637 Vol.
$29,637 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Mazzei (R)
93%
Cyndi Munson (D)
7%
$29,637 Vol.
$29,637 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Mazzei (R)
$12,880 Vol.
93%
Cyndi Munson (D)
$16,757 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor after a narrow August 2026 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond, aided by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial self-funding, and outside support. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around his 92.5% implied probability against Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson. Munson, the House minority leader, won her primary decisively but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2011. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout surges before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$29,637Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor after a narrow August 2026 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond, aided by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial self-funding, and outside support. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around his 92.5% implied probability against Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson. Munson, the House minority leader, won her primary decisively but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2011. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout surges before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,637Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor after a narrow August 2026 runoff victory over Attorney General Gentner Drummond, aided by President Trump’s endorsement, substantial self-funding, and outside support. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including a 34-point Trump margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around his 92.5% implied probability against Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson. Munson, the House minority leader, won her primary decisively but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2011. Low-probability shifts could arise from major scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout surges before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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