OPEC maintains institutional continuity through its core Gulf producers, led by Saudi Arabia, which continue coordinating output quotas via regular OPEC+ meetings as recently as September 2026 despite the UAE’s May exit over production limits and the Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the group, and remaining members retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile prices and energy-transition pressures. Trader consensus against dissolution this year reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup vote or collapse in operations. Late-year shifts could still arise from additional withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete halt in ministerial coordination before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'OPEC si scioglie nel 2026?
L'OPEC si scioglie nel 2026?
Sì
3% probabilità
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC maintains institutional continuity through its core Gulf producers, led by Saudi Arabia, which continue coordinating output quotas via regular OPEC+ meetings as recently as September 2026 despite the UAE’s May exit over production limits and the Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the group, and remaining members retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile prices and energy-transition pressures. Trader consensus against dissolution this year reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup vote or collapse in operations. Late-year shifts could still arise from additional withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete halt in ministerial coordination before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$34,792Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC maintains institutional continuity through its core Gulf producers, led by Saudi Arabia, which continue coordinating output quotas via regular OPEC+ meetings as recently as September 2026 despite the UAE’s May exit over production limits and the Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the group, and remaining members retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile prices and energy-transition pressures. Trader consensus against dissolution this year reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup vote or collapse in operations. Late-year shifts could still arise from additional withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete halt in ministerial coordination before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,792Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...OPEC maintains institutional continuity through its core Gulf producers, led by Saudi Arabia, which continue coordinating output quotas via regular OPEC+ meetings as recently as September 2026 despite the UAE’s May exit over production limits and the Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the group, and remaining members retain incentives to manage supply amid volatile prices and energy-transition pressures. Trader consensus against dissolution this year reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup vote or collapse in operations. Late-year shifts could still arise from additional withdrawals, such as by Iraq, or a complete halt in ministerial coordination before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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