Traders assign a 94.5% implied probability that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains HHS Secretary through October 31, reflecting sustained alignment with White House priorities on MAHA initiatives, vaccine policy revisions, and agency reorganization. Recent actions include signing determinations to phase out remaining COVID-19 emergency use authorizations, advancing supplemental funding awards, and preparing to address the Children’s Health Defense conference. Senate confirmation proceedings for his deputy nominee and continued implementation of department changes further signal stability. Although Democratic lawmakers and some healthcare organizations have issued reports and calls for resignation citing policy disputes, no official statements, procedural steps, or White House signals indicate an impending departure before the resolution window closes.