Charlie Hatcher holds an 88% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-leaning contours of the newly redrawn district, which excludes much of urban Nashville and incorporates more rural and suburban counties across Middle and West Tennessee. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures including Gov. Bill Lee, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary. Recent developments, including Molder’s endorsements from former Gov. Phil Bredesen and the Blue Dog Coalition plus agreement on debates, have not shifted the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics enough to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TN-05
$53,676 Vol.
$53,676 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
88%
Chaz Molder (D)
11%
$53,676 Vol.
$53,676 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
$27,190 Vol.
88%
Chaz Molder (D)
$26,486 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher holds an 88% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-leaning contours of the newly redrawn district, which excludes much of urban Nashville and incorporates more rural and suburban counties across Middle and West Tennessee. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures including Gov. Bill Lee, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary. Recent developments, including Molder’s endorsements from former Gov. Phil Bredesen and the Blue Dog Coalition plus agreement on debates, have not shifted the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics enough to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,676Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher holds an 88% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-leaning contours of the newly redrawn district, which excludes much of urban Nashville and incorporates more rural and suburban counties across Middle and West Tennessee. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures including Gov. Bill Lee, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary. Recent developments, including Molder’s endorsements from former Gov. Phil Bredesen and the Blue Dog Coalition plus agreement on debates, have not shifted the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics enough to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,676Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Charlie Hatcher holds an 88% implied probability in the TN-05 House race due to the Republican-leaning contours of the newly redrawn district, which excludes much of urban Nashville and incorporates more rural and suburban counties across Middle and West Tennessee. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures including Gov. Bill Lee, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor who won his primary. Recent developments, including Molder’s endorsements from former Gov. Phil Bredesen and the Blue Dog Coalition plus agreement on debates, have not shifted the underlying partisan math or fundraising dynamics enough to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti