Tesla shares closed near $365 on September 11 amid mixed reactions to the early-September Cybercab launch, NHTSA scrutiny over self-certification, and Q2 margin pressure at just 1.4% despite 26% revenue growth. Traders price roughly even odds across $340–$385+ bins for the September 14 week close, reflecting uncertainty over autonomous trucking momentum—highlighted by Morgan Stanley’s upgraded bull case—and China EV competition versus potential Semi adoption amid record diesel prices. Near-term catalysts include regulatory updates, FSD progress, and broader risk appetite, with analyst consensus holding at “Hold” and average targets near $402. Market-implied odds capture this balanced contest between execution risks and AI/robotics optionality.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato< $340 23%
$340-$345 23%
$345-$350 23%
$350-$355 23%
< $340
23%
$340-$345
23%
$345-$350
23%
$350-$355
23%
$355-$360
23%
$360-$365
23%
$365-$370
23%
$370-$375
23%
$375-$380
23%
$380-$385
23%
>385$
23%
< $340 23%
$340-$345 23%
$345-$350 23%
$350-$355 23%
< $340
23%
$340-$345
23%
$345-$350
23%
$350-$355
23%
$355-$360
23%
$360-$365
23%
$365-$370
23%
$370-$375
23%
$375-$380
23%
$380-$385
23%
>385$
23%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed near $365 on September 11 amid mixed reactions to the early-September Cybercab launch, NHTSA scrutiny over self-certification, and Q2 margin pressure at just 1.4% despite 26% revenue growth. Traders price roughly even odds across $340–$385+ bins for the September 14 week close, reflecting uncertainty over autonomous trucking momentum—highlighted by Morgan Stanley’s upgraded bull case—and China EV competition versus potential Semi adoption amid record diesel prices. Near-term catalysts include regulatory updates, FSD progress, and broader risk appetite, with analyst consensus holding at “Hold” and average targets near $402. Market-implied odds capture this balanced contest between execution risks and AI/robotics optionality.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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