**Internal divisions, corruption scandals, and inter-agency clashes have fueled political friction in Ukraine without triggering a qualifying coup attempt.** Zelensky faces declining approval amid protests over cabinet changes, the ouster of a popular defense minister, and probes implicating officials close to the presidency. A September 2026 shootout between military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security (SBU) units in Kyiv exposed rivalries but remained limited to an arrest operation tied to alleged Russian links, with no coordinated effort to seize government control. Traders price a low probability of a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the security services' track record of foiling plots, wartime constraints on political upheaval, and the absence of organized challenges meeting market criteria. Scheduled anti-corruption operations and any moves toward elections could test stability further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$169,817 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
7%
$169,817 Vol.
31 dicembre
$151,981 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Internal divisions, corruption scandals, and inter-agency clashes have fueled political friction in Ukraine without triggering a qualifying coup attempt.** Zelensky faces declining approval amid protests over cabinet changes, the ouster of a popular defense minister, and probes implicating officials close to the presidency. A September 2026 shootout between military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security (SBU) units in Kyiv exposed rivalries but remained limited to an arrest operation tied to alleged Russian links, with no coordinated effort to seize government control. Traders price a low probability of a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the security services' track record of foiling plots, wartime constraints on political upheaval, and the absence of organized challenges meeting market criteria. Scheduled anti-corruption operations and any moves toward elections could test stability further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,817Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Internal divisions, corruption scandals, and inter-agency clashes have fueled political friction in Ukraine without triggering a qualifying coup attempt.** Zelensky faces declining approval amid protests over cabinet changes, the ouster of a popular defense minister, and probes implicating officials close to the presidency. A September 2026 shootout between military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security (SBU) units in Kyiv exposed rivalries but remained limited to an arrest operation tied to alleged Russian links, with no coordinated effort to seize government control. Traders price a low probability of a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the security services' track record of foiling plots, wartime constraints on political upheaval, and the absence of organized challenges meeting market criteria. Scheduled anti-corruption operations and any moves toward elections could test stability further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,817Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Internal divisions, corruption scandals, and inter-agency clashes have fueled political friction in Ukraine without triggering a qualifying coup attempt.** Zelensky faces declining approval amid protests over cabinet changes, the ouster of a popular defense minister, and probes implicating officials close to the presidency. A September 2026 shootout between military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security (SBU) units in Kyiv exposed rivalries but remained limited to an arrest operation tied to alleged Russian links, with no coordinated effort to seize government control. Traders price a low probability of a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the security services' track record of foiling plots, wartime constraints on political upheaval, and the absence of organized challenges meeting market criteria. Scheduled anti-corruption operations and any moves toward elections could test stability further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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