A frontal system and associated thunderstorms delivered the heaviest rainfall on September 4, 2026, across northeast Wisconsin and northern Minnesota, with official National Weather Service reports confirming multi-inch totals including over 6 inches near Manitowoc and 5+ inches near Appleton from overnight September 3–4. Scattered lighter amounts fell in parts of northern California and isolated Great Lakes locations, while most other U.S. regions recorded little or no measurable precipitation. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on these verified NWS gauge data and any defined geographic or threshold criteria for resolution, with limited model divergence once observations were finalized. No major forecast updates remain pending for this past event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 4 settembre?
$9,780 Vol.
New York, NY
Sì
Los Angeles, CA
No
Chicago, IL
No
Houston, TX
Sì
Dallas, TX
No
Phoenix, AZ
No
Philadelphia, PA
Sì
Denver, CO
No
Washington, DC
No
Atlanta, GA
No
Miami, FL
Sì
Seattle, WA
Sì
Boston, MA
No
New Orleans, LA
Sì
San Francisco, CA
No
$9,780 Vol.
New York, NY
Sì
Los Angeles, CA
No
Chicago, IL
No
Houston, TX
Sì
Dallas, TX
No
Phoenix, AZ
No
Philadelphia, PA
Sì
Denver, CO
No
Washington, DC
No
Atlanta, GA
No
Miami, FL
Sì
Seattle, WA
Sì
Boston, MA
No
New Orleans, LA
Sì
San Francisco, CA
No
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
A frontal system and associated thunderstorms delivered the heaviest rainfall on September 4, 2026, across northeast Wisconsin and northern Minnesota, with official National Weather Service reports confirming multi-inch totals including over 6 inches near Manitowoc and 5+ inches near Appleton from overnight September 3–4. Scattered lighter amounts fell in parts of northern California and isolated Great Lakes locations, while most other U.S. regions recorded little or no measurable precipitation. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on these verified NWS gauge data and any defined geographic or threshold criteria for resolution, with limited model divergence once observations were finalized. No major forecast updates remain pending for this past event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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