Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its early June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, selection of major underwriters, and ongoing work on a large credit facility, underpin the 97% market-implied probability that it lists ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic now targets a late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential October or early-November debut at a valuation that could exceed $2 trillion. In contrast, OpenAI’s June filings and internal discussions have shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid concerns over market conditions and public reporting readiness. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines and competitive positioning in the large language model sector, though both companies’ schedules remain subject to regulatory review, macroeconomic shifts, and final board decisions that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic
97% probabilità
$336,722 Vol.
$336,722 Vol.
30 dic 2027
Anthropic
97% probabilità
$336,722 Vol.
$336,722 Vol.
30 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its early June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, selection of major underwriters, and ongoing work on a large credit facility, underpin the 97% market-implied probability that it lists ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic now targets a late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential October or early-November debut at a valuation that could exceed $2 trillion. In contrast, OpenAI’s June filings and internal discussions have shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid concerns over market conditions and public reporting readiness. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines and competitive positioning in the large language model sector, though both companies’ schedules remain subject to regulatory review, macroeconomic shifts, and final board decisions that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$336,722Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its early June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, selection of major underwriters, and ongoing work on a large credit facility, underpin the 97% market-implied probability that it lists ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic now targets a late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential October or early-November debut at a valuation that could exceed $2 trillion. In contrast, OpenAI’s June filings and internal discussions have shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid concerns over market conditions and public reporting readiness. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines and competitive positioning in the large language model sector, though both companies’ schedules remain subject to regulatory review, macroeconomic shifts, and final board decisions that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$336,722Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its early June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, selection of major underwriters, and ongoing work on a large credit facility, underpin the 97% market-implied probability that it lists ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic now targets a late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential October or early-November debut at a valuation that could exceed $2 trillion. In contrast, OpenAI’s June filings and internal discussions have shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid concerns over market conditions and public reporting readiness. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines and competitive positioning in the large language model sector, though both companies’ schedules remain subject to regulatory review, macroeconomic shifts, and final board decisions that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
L'offerta pubblica iniziale di Anthropic avverrà nell'ottobre 2026 (ET)?
71%
Sì
Anthropic o OpenAI: quale avrà una capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO più alta?
70%
Anthropic
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Anthropic sarà pari o superiore a 600 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
96%
Sì
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