Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato600Mrd+ 95.3%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 2.0%
<100 miliardi 1.7%
400–600 miliardi <1%
$442,315 Vol.
$442,315 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
2%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
1%
600Mrd+
95%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
2%
600Mrd+ 95.3%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 2.0%
<100 miliardi 1.7%
400–600 miliardi <1%
$442,315 Vol.
$442,315 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
$157,784 Vol.
2%
100–200 miliardi
$82,754 Vol.
<1%
200–300 miliardi
$22,839 Vol.
<1%
300–400 miliardi
$73,412 Vol.
<1%
400–600 miliardi
$22,527 Vol.
1%
600Mrd+
$48,173 Vol.
95%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$34,827 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$442,315Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$442,315Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s aggressive IPO timeline and explosive revenue trajectory underpin the overwhelming 95.6% market-implied probability of a 600B+ closing market cap. The company filed its confidential S-1 in June 2026 after closing a $65 billion Series H round in May that valued it at $965 billion, with annualized revenue surging to $65 billion by July amid rapid Claude model adoption. Bankers are guiding investors toward a $1.5–2 trillion valuation for the planned late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut, exceeding even SpaceX’s recent record. While strong trader consensus reflects this momentum and favorable AI market sentiment, realistic challenges include a sharp post-IPO selloff from insider sales, broader tech volatility, or weaker-than-expected prospectus details on margins and compute costs that could compress multiples.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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