Wyoming’s at-large congressional district has remained in Republican hands since 1978, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure. Chuck Gray secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field, leveraging his profile as secretary of state and prior state legislative service. Democrat Lisa Kinney, a former state senator, advanced easily in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by wide margins. Forecasts rate the race Solid Republican, with trader consensus reflecting the low probability of an upset absent major late-cycle shifts such as candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates but is expected to follow historical patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della WY-AL House
Vincitore delle elezioni della WY-AL House
$44,335 Vol.
$44,335 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chuck Gray (R)
99%
Lisa Kinney (D)
<1%
$44,335 Vol.
$44,335 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chuck Gray (R)
$20,354 Vol.
99%
Lisa Kinney (D)
$23,981 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large congressional district has remained in Republican hands since 1978, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure. Chuck Gray secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field, leveraging his profile as secretary of state and prior state legislative service. Democrat Lisa Kinney, a former state senator, advanced easily in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by wide margins. Forecasts rate the race Solid Republican, with trader consensus reflecting the low probability of an upset absent major late-cycle shifts such as candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates but is expected to follow historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,335Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large congressional district has remained in Republican hands since 1978, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure. Chuck Gray secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field, leveraging his profile as secretary of state and prior state legislative service. Democrat Lisa Kinney, a former state senator, advanced easily in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by wide margins. Forecasts rate the race Solid Republican, with trader consensus reflecting the low probability of an upset absent major late-cycle shifts such as candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates but is expected to follow historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,335Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large congressional district has remained in Republican hands since 1978, reflecting the state’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic infrastructure. Chuck Gray secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field, leveraging his profile as secretary of state and prior state legislative service. Democrat Lisa Kinney, a former state senator, advanced easily in her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by wide margins. Forecasts rate the race Solid Republican, with trader consensus reflecting the low probability of an upset absent major late-cycle shifts such as candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates but is expected to follow historical patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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