Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヤッサミン・アンサリ（民主党）
98%
共和党
<1%
$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヤッサミン・アンサリ（民主党）
$32,813 Vol.
98%
共和党
$19,919 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$52,732終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,732終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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