Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh secured the AZ-08 nomination without primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia prevailed in her primary with roughly two-thirds support. The district, covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria, carries a solidly Republican rating from major forecasters due to its partisan composition and voting history. Hamadeh maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Greene-Placentia’s lower totals, and no major campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment have altered the competitive landscape since the July primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican hold in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,474 Vol.
$11,474 Vol.
2026/11/02
エイブラハム・ハマデ（共和党）
85%
バーナデット・グリーン＝プラセンシア（民主党）
17%
$11,474 Vol.
$11,474 Vol.
2026/11/02
エイブラハム・ハマデ（共和党）
$4,605 Vol.
85%
バーナデット・グリーン＝プラセンシア（民主党）
$6,869 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh secured the AZ-08 nomination without primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia prevailed in her primary with roughly two-thirds support. The district, covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria, carries a solidly Republican rating from major forecasters due to its partisan composition and voting history. Hamadeh maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Greene-Placentia’s lower totals, and no major campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment have altered the competitive landscape since the July primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican hold in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$11,474終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh secured the AZ-08 nomination without primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia prevailed in her primary with roughly two-thirds support. The district, covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria, carries a solidly Republican rating from major forecasters due to its partisan composition and voting history. Hamadeh maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Greene-Placentia’s lower totals, and no major campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment have altered the competitive landscape since the July primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican hold in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,474終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh secured the AZ-08 nomination without primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia prevailed in her primary with roughly two-thirds support. The district, covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria, carries a solidly Republican rating from major forecasters due to its partisan composition and voting history. Hamadeh maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to Greene-Placentia’s lower totals, and no major campaign developments or shifts in voter sentiment have altered the competitive landscape since the July primaries. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican hold in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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