**Proposition 4 would repeal California's longstanding ban on public campaign financing, enabling the state and non-charter local governments to create optional programs with spending limits, eligibility rules requiring broad small-donor support, and restrictions barring earmarked education, transportation, or public safety funds.** Voter rejection of similar measures in 2000 and 2010, combined with opposition from taxpayer groups emphasizing potential costs and use of public resources for political campaigns, contributes to the current trader consensus favoring rejection. The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via SB 42, has drawn support from reform organizations and the California Democratic Party but faces a crowded ballot and historical skepticism toward taxpayer-funded systems. No recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have notably altered positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
45% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
45% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).**Proposition 4 would repeal California's longstanding ban on public campaign financing, enabling the state and non-charter local governments to create optional programs with spending limits, eligibility rules requiring broad small-donor support, and restrictions barring earmarked education, transportation, or public safety funds.**
Voter rejection of similar measures in 2000 and 2010, combined with opposition from taxpayer groups emphasizing potential costs and use of public resources for political campaigns, contributes to the current trader consensus favoring rejection. The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via SB 42, has drawn support from reform organizations and the California Democratic Party but faces a crowded ballot and historical skepticism toward taxpayer-funded systems. No recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have notably altered positioning.
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).**Proposition 4 would repeal California's longstanding ban on public campaign financing, enabling the state and non-charter local governments to create optional programs with spending limits, eligibility rules requiring broad small-donor support, and restrictions barring earmarked education, transportation, or public safety funds.**
Voter rejection of similar measures in 2000 and 2010, combined with opposition from taxpayer groups emphasizing potential costs and use of public resources for political campaigns, contributes to the current trader consensus favoring rejection. The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via SB 42, has drawn support from reform organizations and the California Democratic Party but faces a crowded ballot and historical skepticism toward taxpayer-funded systems. No recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have notably altered positioning.
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Proposition 4 would repeal California's longstanding ban on public campaign financing, enabling the state and non-charter local governments to create optional programs with spending limits, eligibility rules requiring broad small-donor support, and restrictions barring earmarked education, transportation, or public safety funds.** Voter rejection of similar measures in 2000 and 2010, combined with opposition from taxpayer groups emphasizing potential costs and use of public resources for political campaigns, contributes to the current trader consensus favoring rejection. The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via SB 42, has drawn support from reform organizations and the California Democratic Party but faces a crowded ballot and historical skepticism toward taxpayer-funded systems. No recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have notably altered positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問