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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?

1000+ 34%

880-919 10%

960-999 8%

920-959 7%

Polymarket

$21,225 Vol.

1000+ 34%

880-919 10%

960-999 8%

920-959 7%

Polymarket

$21,225 Vol.

<20

$525 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$435 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$430 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$445 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$440 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$515 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$495 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$510 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$315 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$500 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$490 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$415 Vol.

<1%

240-259

$495 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$415 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$495 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$497 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$497 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$495 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$510 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$495 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$805 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$1,395 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$475 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$475 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$1,007 Vol.

1%

500-519

$75 Vol.

1%

520-539

$75 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$90 Vol.

1%

560-579

$75 Vol.

1%

580-599

$637 Vol.

1%

600-619

$0 Vol.

1%

620-639

$20 Vol.

1%

640-659

$0 Vol.

1%

660-679

$20 Vol.

2%

680-699

$20 Vol.

2%

700-719

$572 Vol.

4%

720-739

$570 Vol.

3%

740-759

$20 Vol.

3%

760-779

$320 Vol.

2%

780-799

$396 Vol.

6%

800-839

$510 Vol.

6%

840-879

$58 Vol.

6%

880-919

$1,516 Vol.

10%

920-959

$63 Vol.

7%

960-999

$570 Vol.

8%

1000+

$2,048 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent monthly totals for Elon Musk on X, including over 800 posts in August 2026 and consistent weekly averages above 100 in recent tracking, underpin trader consensus favoring the 1000+ bracket at 33.5% implied probability. Variability in daily output—driven by news cycles, political commentary, business updates from Tesla and SpaceX, and platform engagement—explains the fragmented field below 10% for most narrower ranges. Historical spikes during high-visibility periods and a 2025-2026 uptick in overall volume create the wide distribution, with October's proximity to potential catalysts like product launches or elections adding to uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$21,225
終了日
2026/11/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent monthly totals for Elon Musk on X, including over 800 posts in August 2026 and consistent weekly averages above 100 in recent tracking, underpin trader consensus favoring the 1000+ bracket at 33.5% implied probability. Variability in daily output—driven by news cycles, political commentary, business updates from Tesla and SpaceX, and platform engagement—explains the fragmented field below 10% for most narrower ranges. Historical spikes during high-visibility periods and a 2025-2026 uptick in overall volume create the wide distribution, with October's proximity to potential catalysts like product launches or elections adding to uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$21,225
終了日
2026/11/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の46+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1000+」で34%、次いで「880-919」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?」は$21.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている46+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「1000+」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「880-919」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年10月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。