Recent monthly totals for Elon Musk on X, including over 800 posts in August 2026 and consistent weekly averages above 100 in recent tracking, underpin trader consensus favoring the 1000+ bracket at 33.5% implied probability. Variability in daily output—driven by news cycles, political commentary, business updates from Tesla and SpaceX, and platform engagement—explains the fragmented field below 10% for most narrower ranges. Historical spikes during high-visibility periods and a 2025-2026 uptick in overall volume create the wide distribution, with October's proximity to potential catalysts like product launches or elections adding to uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1000+ 34%
880-919 10%
960-999 8%
920-959 7%
$21,225 Vol.
$21,225 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
3%
760-779
2%
780-799
6%
800-839
6%
840-879
6%
880-919
10%
920-959
7%
960-999
8%
1000+
34%
1000+ 34%
880-919 10%
960-999 8%
920-959 7%
$21,225 Vol.
$21,225 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
3%
760-779
2%
780-799
6%
800-839
6%
840-879
6%
880-919
10%
920-959
7%
960-999
8%
1000+
34%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly totals for Elon Musk on X, including over 800 posts in August 2026 and consistent weekly averages above 100 in recent tracking, underpin trader consensus favoring the 1000+ bracket at 33.5% implied probability. Variability in daily output—driven by news cycles, political commentary, business updates from Tesla and SpaceX, and platform engagement—explains the fragmented field below 10% for most narrower ranges. Historical spikes during high-visibility periods and a 2025-2026 uptick in overall volume create the wide distribution, with October's proximity to potential catalysts like product launches or elections adding to uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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