Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,307 Vol.
$57,307 Vol.
2026/11/02
ガス・ビリラキス（共和党）
93%
キンバリー・オーバーマン（民主党）
9%
$57,307 Vol.
$57,307 Vol.
2026/11/02
ガス・ビリラキス（共和党）
$23,211 Vol.
93%
キンバリー・オーバーマン（民主党）
$34,096 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$57,307終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,307終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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