Raphaël Glucksmann leads the first-round market at 88% after the September 16 confirmation of five validated candidates for the October 9-10 primary organized by the Parti socialiste and Place publique. His position stems from strong polling momentum since the 2024 European elections, endorsements from key PS figures, and positioning as the frontrunner to consolidate the social-democratic vote ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Recent exclusion of Philippe Brun on violence-related allegations narrowed the field to Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel. Three televised debates scheduled before the first round and the open electronic voting format among militants and new members remain key variables that could influence turnout and final tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラファエル・グリュックスマン 88%
オリヴィエ・フォール 8%
ジェローム・グェジ 4.1%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル 3.5%
新規
新規
2026/10/10
ラファエル・グリュックスマン
88%
オリヴィエ・フォール
8%
ジェローム・グェジ
4%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル
3%
エマニュエル・モーレル
3%
フィリップ・ブラン
1%
ラファエル・グリュックスマン 88%
オリヴィエ・フォール 8%
ジェローム・グェジ 4.1%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル 3.5%
新規
新規
2026/10/10
ラファエル・グリュックスマン
$2,804 Vol.
88%
オリヴィエ・フォール
$302 Vol.
8%
ジェローム・グェジ
$226 Vol.
4%
セゴレーヌ・ロワイヤル
$695 Vol.
3%
エマニュエル・モーレル
$187 Vol.
3%
フィリップ・ブラン
$140 Vol.
1%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Raphaël Glucksmann leads the first-round market at 88% after the September 16 confirmation of five validated candidates for the October 9-10 primary organized by the Parti socialiste and Place publique. His position stems from strong polling momentum since the 2024 European elections, endorsements from key PS figures, and positioning as the frontrunner to consolidate the social-democratic vote ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Recent exclusion of Philippe Brun on violence-related allegations narrowed the field to Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel. Three televised debates scheduled before the first round and the open electronic voting format among militants and new members remain key variables that could influence turnout and final tallies.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
音量
$4,354終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Raphaël Glucksmann leads the first-round market at 88% after the September 16 confirmation of five validated candidates for the October 9-10 primary organized by the Parti socialiste and Place publique. His position stems from strong polling momentum since the 2024 European elections, endorsements from key PS figures, and positioning as the frontrunner to consolidate the social-democratic vote ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Recent exclusion of Philippe Brun on violence-related allegations narrowed the field to Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel. Three televised debates scheduled before the first round and the open electronic voting format among militants and new members remain key variables that could influence turnout and final tallies.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
音量
$4,354終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Raphaël Glucksmann leads the first-round market at 88% after the September 16 confirmation of five validated candidates for the October 9-10 primary organized by the Parti socialiste and Place publique. His position stems from strong polling momentum since the 2024 European elections, endorsements from key PS figures, and positioning as the frontrunner to consolidate the social-democratic vote ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Recent exclusion of Philippe Brun on violence-related allegations narrowed the field to Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel. Three televised debates scheduled before the first round and the open electronic voting format among militants and new members remain key variables that could influence turnout and final tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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