The open-seat contest in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Barry Loudermilk, features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden on November 3. Cowan secured the GOP nomination with a decisive June runoff victory after a crowded primary, while Harden advanced easily in the Democratic primary. The district’s R+12 Partisan Voter Index, Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.3% implied probability for Cowan. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift capable of driving unusually high Democratic turnout in this northwest Atlanta suburban and exurban district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,123 Vol.
$53,123 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・カウアン（共和党）
98%
クリス・ハーデン（民主党）
2%
$53,123 Vol.
$53,123 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・カウアン（共和党）
$38,325 Vol.
98%
クリス・ハーデン（民主党）
$14,798 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Barry Loudermilk, features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden on November 3. Cowan secured the GOP nomination with a decisive June runoff victory after a crowded primary, while Harden advanced easily in the Democratic primary. The district’s R+12 Partisan Voter Index, Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.3% implied probability for Cowan. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift capable of driving unusually high Democratic turnout in this northwest Atlanta suburban and exurban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$53,123終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Barry Loudermilk, features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden on November 3. Cowan secured the GOP nomination with a decisive June runoff victory after a crowded primary, while Harden advanced easily in the Democratic primary. The district’s R+12 Partisan Voter Index, Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.3% implied probability for Cowan. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift capable of driving unusually high Democratic turnout in this northwest Atlanta suburban and exurban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,123終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat contest in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, vacated by retiring Republican Rep. Barry Loudermilk, features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden on November 3. Cowan secured the GOP nomination with a decisive June runoff victory after a crowded primary, while Harden advanced easily in the Democratic primary. The district’s R+12 Partisan Voter Index, Trump’s 18.5-point margin there in 2024, and consistent Republican performance in prior cycles have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.3% implied probability for Cowan. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift capable of driving unusually high Democratic turnout in this northwest Atlanta suburban and exurban district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問