Russ Fulcher's commanding position in the Idaho 1st District race stems from the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and consistent large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. As the four-term incumbent, Fulcher secured renomination with 78% in the May primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson, facing a rematch after prior defeats by 45-point margins, advanced easily but trails in available polling. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican, with no major recent developments such as shifts in voter turnout patterns, endorsements, or legislative actions altering the baseline. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late-cycle events like a significant scandal or health development for the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,209 Vol.
$48,209 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラス・フルチャー（共和党）
95%
ケイリー・ピーターソン（民主党）
5%
$48,209 Vol.
$48,209 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラス・フルチャー（共和党）
$32,566 Vol.
95%
ケイリー・ピーターソン（民主党）
$15,643 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russ Fulcher's commanding position in the Idaho 1st District race stems from the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and consistent large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. As the four-term incumbent, Fulcher secured renomination with 78% in the May primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson, facing a rematch after prior defeats by 45-point margins, advanced easily but trails in available polling. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican, with no major recent developments such as shifts in voter turnout patterns, endorsements, or legislative actions altering the baseline. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late-cycle events like a significant scandal or health development for the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$48,209終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russ Fulcher's commanding position in the Idaho 1st District race stems from the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and consistent large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. As the four-term incumbent, Fulcher secured renomination with 78% in the May primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson, facing a rematch after prior defeats by 45-point margins, advanced easily but trails in available polling. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican, with no major recent developments such as shifts in voter turnout patterns, endorsements, or legislative actions altering the baseline. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late-cycle events like a significant scandal or health development for the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,209終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Russ Fulcher's commanding position in the Idaho 1st District race stems from the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and consistent large margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. As the four-term incumbent, Fulcher secured renomination with 78% in the May primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson, facing a rematch after prior defeats by 45-point margins, advanced easily but trails in available polling. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Republican, with no major recent developments such as shifts in voter turnout patterns, endorsements, or legislative actions altering the baseline. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late-cycle events like a significant scandal or health development for the incumbent could theoretically narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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