La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 7th district seat, drawing on his nearly two decades in the state House and an endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis. The district's consistent heavy Democratic tilt, shown by Kamala Harris's 36.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus for Ford over Republican Chad Koppie, who won a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic with no recent polling shifts or major events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or turnout surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns make such moves improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
2026/11/03
ラ・ショーン・フォード（民主党）
97%
チャッド・コッピー（共和党）
1%
$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
2026/11/03
ラ・ショーン・フォード（民主党）
$12,288 Vol.
97%
チャッド・コッピー（共和党）
$14,353 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 7th district seat, drawing on his nearly two decades in the state House and an endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis. The district's consistent heavy Democratic tilt, shown by Kamala Harris's 36.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus for Ford over Republican Chad Koppie, who won a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic with no recent polling shifts or major events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or turnout surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns make such moves improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$26,641終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 7th district seat, drawing on his nearly two decades in the state House and an endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis. The district's consistent heavy Democratic tilt, shown by Kamala Harris's 36.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus for Ford over Republican Chad Koppie, who won a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic with no recent polling shifts or major events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or turnout surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns make such moves improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,641終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 7th district seat, drawing on his nearly two decades in the state House and an endorsement from retiring incumbent Danny Davis. The district's consistent heavy Democratic tilt, shown by Kamala Harris's 36.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 96.7% trader consensus for Ford over Republican Chad Koppie, who won a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic with no recent polling shifts or major events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or turnout surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns make such moves improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問