Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in the 95 percent trader consensus, due to the district's R+16 Partisan Voter Index and his 65 percent general election performance in 2024. Stutzman secured 68 percent in the May 2026 Republican primary against challenger Jon Kenworthy, demonstrating strong party backing in the northeast Indiana seat anchored by Fort Wayne. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural Republican advantage and incumbency effects make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,242 Vol.
$24,242 Vol.
2026/11/03
マーリン・スタッツマン（共和党）
95%
ケリー・トンプソン（民主党）
5%
$24,242 Vol.
$24,242 Vol.
2026/11/03
マーリン・スタッツマン（共和党）
$4,666 Vol.
95%
ケリー・トンプソン（民主党）
$19,576 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in the 95 percent trader consensus, due to the district's R+16 Partisan Voter Index and his 65 percent general election performance in 2024. Stutzman secured 68 percent in the May 2026 Republican primary against challenger Jon Kenworthy, demonstrating strong party backing in the northeast Indiana seat anchored by Fort Wayne. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural Republican advantage and incumbency effects make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,242終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in the 95 percent trader consensus, due to the district's R+16 Partisan Voter Index and his 65 percent general election performance in 2024. Stutzman secured 68 percent in the May 2026 Republican primary against challenger Jon Kenworthy, demonstrating strong party backing in the northeast Indiana seat anchored by Fort Wayne. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural Republican advantage and incumbency effects make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,242終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in the 95 percent trader consensus, due to the district's R+16 Partisan Voter Index and his 65 percent general election performance in 2024. Stutzman secured 68 percent in the May 2026 Republican primary against challenger Jon Kenworthy, demonstrating strong party backing in the northeast Indiana seat anchored by Fort Wayne. Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson advanced unopposed but trails significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural Republican advantage and incumbency effects make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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