André Carson's commanding position in the Indiana 7th congressional district stems from its deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, including 68 percent in 2024. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and holds substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages over Republican challenger Patrick McAuley, who advanced easily in his primary but faces structural headwinds in the urban Indianapolis-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave before the November 3 general election could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンドレ・カーソン（民主党）
97%
パトリック・マコーリー（共和党）
<1%
$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンドレ・カーソン（民主党）
$7,947 Vol.
97%
パトリック・マコーリー（共和党）
$37,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).André Carson's commanding position in the Indiana 7th congressional district stems from its deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, including 68 percent in 2024. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and holds substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages over Republican challenger Patrick McAuley, who advanced easily in his primary but faces structural headwinds in the urban Indianapolis-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave before the November 3 general election could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,726終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).André Carson's commanding position in the Indiana 7th congressional district stems from its deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, including 68 percent in 2024. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and holds substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages over Republican challenger Patrick McAuley, who advanced easily in his primary but faces structural headwinds in the urban Indianapolis-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave before the November 3 general election could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,726終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...André Carson's commanding position in the Indiana 7th congressional district stems from its deep Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, including 68 percent in 2024. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and holds substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages over Republican challenger Patrick McAuley, who advanced easily in his primary but faces structural headwinds in the urban Indianapolis-based seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Carson aligns with these baseline factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate health issue, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave before the November 3 general election could still shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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