Israeli operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have focused on establishing and gradually expanding a security zone along the border, with forces crossing the self-declared yellow line into villages such as Al Mansouri in the Tyre district through September. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced in June has held unevenly amid repeated Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets, including in and near Tyre, alongside evacuation orders for parts of the city. Israeli officials have described recent gains, such as control of the Ali al-Taher ridge, as completing the security zone without signaling intent to advance deeper into urban centers like Tyre. Lebanese army access remains restricted in contested areas, while diplomatic efforts involving the U.S., Iran, and regional mediators continue to address withdrawal timelines and Hezbollah disarmament. Trader assessments of entry by a given date hinge on whether Hezbollah attacks prompt further Israeli ground maneuvers or if de-escalation stabilizes the existing lines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$102,749 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
5%
$102,749 Vol.
9月30日
$1,782 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have focused on establishing and gradually expanding a security zone along the border, with forces crossing the self-declared yellow line into villages such as Al Mansouri in the Tyre district through September. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced in June has held unevenly amid repeated Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets, including in and near Tyre, alongside evacuation orders for parts of the city. Israeli officials have described recent gains, such as control of the Ali al-Taher ridge, as completing the security zone without signaling intent to advance deeper into urban centers like Tyre. Lebanese army access remains restricted in contested areas, while diplomatic efforts involving the U.S., Iran, and regional mediators continue to address withdrawal timelines and Hezbollah disarmament. Trader assessments of entry by a given date hinge on whether Hezbollah attacks prompt further Israeli ground maneuvers or if de-escalation stabilizes the existing lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
音量
$102,749終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have focused on establishing and gradually expanding a security zone along the border, with forces crossing the self-declared yellow line into villages such as Al Mansouri in the Tyre district through September. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced in June has held unevenly amid repeated Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets, including in and near Tyre, alongside evacuation orders for parts of the city. Israeli officials have described recent gains, such as control of the Ali al-Taher ridge, as completing the security zone without signaling intent to advance deeper into urban centers like Tyre. Lebanese army access remains restricted in contested areas, while diplomatic efforts involving the U.S., Iran, and regional mediators continue to address withdrawal timelines and Hezbollah disarmament. Trader assessments of entry by a given date hinge on whether Hezbollah attacks prompt further Israeli ground maneuvers or if de-escalation stabilizes the existing lines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$102,749終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have focused on establishing and gradually expanding a security zone along the border, with forces crossing the self-declared yellow line into villages such as Al Mansouri in the Tyre district through September. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced in June has held unevenly amid repeated Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets, including in and near Tyre, alongside evacuation orders for parts of the city. Israeli officials have described recent gains, such as control of the Ali al-Taher ridge, as completing the security zone without signaling intent to advance deeper into urban centers like Tyre. Lebanese army access remains restricted in contested areas, while diplomatic efforts involving the U.S., Iran, and regional mediators continue to address withdrawal timelines and Hezbollah disarmament. Trader assessments of entry by a given date hinge on whether Hezbollah attacks prompt further Israeli ground maneuvers or if de-escalation stabilizes the existing lines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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